I predicted Ukraine in 2016. Here’s what we all need to do now.

Tanks in Central Tallinn for their Independence Day parade, Estonia, 23rd February 2022

In 2016 I wrote an essay about how humans never learn from history. In it I predicted that Brexit and Trump would lead to Putin invading Latvia and triggering a world war. In effect, I was predicting today’s invasion of Ukraine. I said this because both Brexit and Trump stood for breaking down the alliances that have prevented conflict since the last world war. Brexit has weakened…

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Writing about politics, history, and society. Also at www.tswriting.substack.com, www.tswriting.co, @ts_writing

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