I predicted Ukraine in 2016. Here’s what we all need to do now.

Tanks in Central Tallinn for their Independence Day parade, Estonia, 23rd February 2022

In 2016 I wrote an essay about how humans never learn from history. In it I predicted that Brexit and Trump would lead to Putin invading Latvia and triggering a world war. In effect, I was predicting today’s invasion of Ukraine. I said this because both Brexit and Trump stood for breaking down the alliances that have prevented conflict since the last world war. Brexit has weakened…



Writing about politics, history, and society. Also at www.tswriting.substack.com, www.tswriting.co, @ts_writing

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